Let`s dive straight into the analysis of the Western Conference playoff matchups. Here are my thoughts on which teams hold advantages and disadvantages as we enter Round 1 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars
Season series: Colorado won 2-1 against Dallas, with one of Dallas`s points coming from an overtime loss in March.
The breakdown: We`re looking at two very strong teams. The Dallas Stars are currently on a six-game losing streak, which is concerning, but they also had a seven-game winning streak prior to this. It`s important to remember that teams are never as good as they seem during wins, nor as bad during losses.
Both teams are high-scoring, ranking in the top six in the league. Dallas has been slightly better defensively, largely due to having the second-best team save percentage in the league (.907), while Colorado is 18th (.891).
Expected goals metrics slightly favor Colorado, but both teams are statistically well-regarded, alongside Vegas, Tampa Bay, Edmonton, Carolina, and Washington.
Goaltending will be crucial. Colorado`s goalies have improved since the start of the season, while Dallas`s goalies have been struggling recently.
Player health is another factor. Dallas is waiting for the return of Miro Heiskanen and Tyler Seguin, among others. Colorado expects Gabriel Landeskog back and is awaiting Josh Manson.
My prediction: Colorado in 6 games. Dallas is currently struggling, and inconsistent goaltending could be a major issue for them.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings
Season series: The Kings had a 3-0-1 record against the Oilers, but their last game where Edmonton played without key players shouldn`t be considered indicative.
The breakdown: This series is interesting due to the contrasting styles. Los Angeles is one of the best defensive teams in the NHL, ranking second in goals against per game, while Edmonton is 16th. Darcy Kuemper`s excellent season might also make him a Vezina finalist, benefiting L.A.
Offensively, both teams have similar outputs, but Edmonton generates significantly more expected goals. When healthy, especially with their top players available, Edmonton`s offense is very difficult to defend against.
A potential weakness for the Kings is their power play, which ranked 28th in the regular season. If they can`t capitalize on power plays in what`s expected to be a physical series, it could allow Edmonton to play more aggressively. The return of players like Evander Kane or Trent Frederic for Edmonton would be a significant boost.
Injuries are a major concern for Edmonton. While they might be the better team when fully healthy, if key players are rushed back at less than full strength, it will be challenging for them to perform at their peak.
My prediction: Edmonton in 6 games. Ultimately, elite players make the difference in tight playoff series. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are game-changing talents who can dominate in crucial moments, making it hard to bet against them.
