UFC returns to Mexico City with an exciting fight card! The main event features a flyweight battle between Brandon Moreno, a former two-time champion, and Steve Erceg, a former title challenger. Before the main event, fans can look forward to 12 more thrilling matchups. Let`s explore some top picks for this weekend`s fights.
Kelvin Gastelum (Underdog)
Kelvin Gastelum is set to face Joe Pyfer in a prominent main card fight. Despite being considered an underdog, Gastelum presents a strong betting opportunity. While his odds have shortened recently, he remains a valuable pick. Pyfer, once hyped as a rising middleweight star, was tested by Jack Hermansson, revealing areas for improvement. Gastelum`s resilience and relentless pressure make him a dangerous opponent for Pyfer, especially at these odds. Gastelum`s durability and persistence make him a worthwhile bet.
Brandon Moreno to Win & Round 2 or Later Start
For slightly better odds than a straight win bet on Moreno, consider this prop bet. Moreno is highly favored to defeat Erceg due to his superior and more diverse fighting skills. While Erceg is a skilled boxer, his wrestling defense is questionable. Moreno possesses a more varied striking arsenal and a strong chin. It`s anticipated that Moreno has too many advantages for Erceg to overcome. Although a finish is possible, betting on Moreno to win with the fight reaching the second round offers better value, considering Moreno hasn`t had a first-round finish in the UFC since 2020.
Raul Rosas Jr. by Decision
Raul Rosas Jr. is heavily favored against Vince Morales, largely due to Rosas`s talent and the UFC`s push behind him, contrasting with Morales`s less prominent status. Rosas is expected to utilize his takedowns and grappling to secure a victory. However, Morales has shown resilience against submissions, not being submitted since 2018 despite facing tough opponents. This suggests the fight is likely to go to the judges` scorecards.
Loopy Godinez by Decision
Loopy Godinez is matched against Julia Polastri on the preliminary card, and a Godinez victory is highly expected. Despite recent losses to top-ranked fighters Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern, Godinez remains a strong contender. Polastri, in her last fight, secured a split decision win over Cory McKenna. Godinez`s aggressive pressure and grappling skills should be too much for Polastri, but Godinez typically wins by decision, making a points victory a likely outcome.
David Martinez (Favorite)
David Martinez, known as “Black Spartan,” is making his UFC debut against Saimon Oliveira. This fight is considered a favorable matchup for Martinez. Oliveira has a 0-2 UFC record and has been inactive for two years. Martinez, a former Combate champion, is seen as a well-developed fighter ready for higher-level competition and is expected to showcase his skills.
Ateba Gautier (Favorite)
Ateba Gautier is also debuting in the UFC against Jose Daniel Medina in another bout expected to favor the newcomer. Gautier, a physically imposing fighter likened to Melvin Manhoef, is still developing but is matched against an opponent who should allow him to gain experience without significant risk.
Consider parlaying Martinez and Gautier for combined odds.
After a successful UFC London event, hopes are high for continued success at UFC Mexico City.
Enjoy the fights and good luck!
