The 2024 free agency period for UFAs was quite chaotic. Signing unrestricted free agents often presents high risks and uncertain rewards, akin to the running of the bulls – you`re lucky if you emerge unscathed, and damage is a real possibility.
NHL general managers face these dangers head-on during free agency, one of the few periods when they shed their usual reserve and become notably active.
Indeed, 2024 saw its share of free agency mishaps. Nashville, for example, committed significant funds to players like Steven Stamkos, Jonathan Marchessault, and Brady Skjei, none of whom performed to the level of their contracts as the team struggled. Elias Lindholm also had difficulties in Boston after his large signing. While some signings met expectations (such as Jake DeBrusk or Chandler Stephenson), most high-profile deals didn`t pan out, with Jake Guentzel`s productive 41-goal season for Tampa Bay being a notable exception.
While teams chase the rare success stories, the frequency of problematic signings demonstrates why simply avoiding the high-end UFA market is often the wiser approach.
Considering this context, let`s examine the strategic steps the Toronto Maple Leafs should consider taking when the free agent market opens on July 1.
An important related point: NHL insider Elliotte Friedman discussed the Maple Leafs` negotiation process with John Tavares, noting their flexibility due to his desire to stay, and drew a parallel to the Senators` situation with UFA Claude Giroux.
Step 1: Identify and Pursue Value
Historically, many of the most effective UFA signings are players secured for modest contracts, typically between league minimum and $1.5 million, who unexpectedly become valuable contributors.
As an example, the Boston Bruins signed Cole Koepke last year for league minimum. He played 73 games, scored 10 goals, was second among forwards in hits, and finished with a +1 rating on a team with a -50 goal differential. This is the kind of impactful depth you`d want on a fourth line.
Koepke is available again at likely a similar price, but teams should also seek out potential breakout players needing an opportunity. The Leafs` fourth line has often lacked a defined identity, although it improved last season. Its focus remained heavily defensive, lacking significant physicality or offense.
The question for the Leafs is what identity they want for their fourth line. Mikey Eyssimont is a compelling option; he`s willing to fight and possesses potentially untapped offensive skill, in addition to being a strong skater.
Significant value can often be unearthed in this lower salary tier.
